The job market is strong. A net additional 256,000 workers were hired in December, bringing the total for the year to 2.2 million more jobs. The unemployment rate notched lower to 4.1%. The wage growth rate of 3.9% is outpacing inflation at 2.7%. All this positive news is, however, temporarily bad news for interest rates. 

Good economic data do not have to be associated with higher interest rates. More production and higher productivity can bring down inflation and interest rates. However, higher rates now are due to lingering inflation, which has not been fully contained. The oversupply in the apartment sector implies that inflation will be much calmer in the future. But until then, mortgage rates will stick near the current elevated rates. In the meantime, consumers are looking for inventory, and more choices have led to gains in home sales in many markets.

Line graph: Total Payroll Jobs in the United States, January 2000 to January 2025
Line graph: Unemployment Rate, January 2022 to January 2025
Bar graph: Net Monthly Payroll Job Additions, January 2022 to December 2024
Line graph: Wage Growth and Inflation, January 2022 to December 2024
Line graph: Fed Rates and Mortgage Rates, January 2024 to January 2025
Bar graph: National Pending Contracts to Buy a Home, January 2024 to November 2024
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